How to Predict the Future (Same as Ever by Morgan Housel)

Nat's Notes

Nov 10 2023 • 27 mins

What I learned from Same As Ever: A Guide to What Never Changes by Morgan Housel.

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Timestamps

[00:00] How to Predict the Future
[01:57] Risk is What You Don’t See
[03:53] People Want Certainty, not Accuracy
[07:31] Storytelling is a Superpower
[11:06] Calm Times Create Crazy Times
[13:19] Don’t Go Too Fast
[16:27] More Stress Is Good
[17:56] Good News Happens Slowly
[19:48] How to Be a Rational Optimist
[21:16] Perfection Makes You Fragile
[23:10] It’s Supposed to Be Hard
[25:04] Don’t Quit When You’re Ahead
[26:05] Questions to Ask Yourself

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