//The Wire//2100Z April 13, 2024//

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//BLUF: IRANIAN COUNTERATTACK ON ISRAEL HAS BEGUN.//

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-International Events-

Middle East: Iran has begun their retaliatory actions against Israel. Though the situation is highly dynamic at the moment, the attack largely appears to be primarily comprised of long-range drones. The attack also appears to be directed at Israel directly. So far no indications suggest coordinated attacks on U.S. facilities in the region, however there is potential for low-level splinter groups in Iraq and Syria to capitalize on the fog or war to launch their own localized attacks.

Currently, three waves of drone swarms have been observed; two launched from Iran directly, and a third wave originating from Yemen. All three waves will take several hours to reach their targets in Israel.

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Analyst Comments: As the situation is developing, additional drone waves could be expected. Additionally, the use of ballistic missiles could be on the table as well, the launch of which could be timed so as to coincide with the arrival of the drone swarms.

Analyst: S2A1

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