Facts vs Feelings with Ryan Detrick & Sonu Varghese

Carson Investment Research

This podcast takes a deep dive into the market-moving events to cut through the noise and help you identify what really matters. Facts vs Feelings is hosted by Chief Market Strategist, Ryan Detrick and VP, Global Macro Strategist, Sonu Varghese, and is a product of the Carson Investment Research Team.

The information included herein is for informational purposes and is intended for use by advisors only, and should not be copied, reproduced, or re-distributed without the consent of CWM, LLC. Carson Partners offers investment advisory services through CWM, LLC, an SEC Registered Investment Advisor. Carson Coaching and CWM, LLC are separate but affiliated companies and wholly-owned subsidiaries of Carson Group Holdings, LLC. Carson Coaching does not provide advisory services.

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Episodes

Talking About the Future of Carson Group with Burt White (Ep. 85)
May 15 2024
Talking About the Future of Carson Group with Burt White (Ep. 85)
Discover the vision and strategy behind Carson Group’s evolution as Burt White steps into the role of CEO!In this episode, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group & Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, sit down with Burt White, CEO at Carson Group, to explore the company’s direction under his leadership and the legacy of service excellence they aim to uphold.Together they discuss: Burt’s recent appointment as CEO and the seamless transition of leadership within Carson GroupThe concept of ‘Peak Service’ and how Carson Group is redefining service standards in the wealth management industryThe importance of client-focused metrics and the impact of small business ethos on financial adviceThe dynamic partnership between Burt and Ron Carson, highlighting their complementary strengths and shared vision for the companyAnd more!Resources:Any questions about the show? Send it to us! We’d love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com Connect with Burt White: LinkedIn: Burt WhiteConnect with Ryan Detrick: LinkedIn: Ryan DetrickX: Ryan DetrickConnect with Sonu Varghese: LinkedIn: Sonu VargheseX: Sonu VargheseAbout Our Guest:A prominent voice and advocate for the independent advisor, Burt White is Chief Executive Officer at Carson Group. He helps steer the company’s strategic focus as a member of Carson’s executive board.Drawing on decades of industry experience, Burt augments and elevates the firm’s opportunities for growth across corporate and investment strategies. He works with Carson’s investment team to build and deliver an investment ecosystem that drives growth for the firm’s 140+ partners, who collectively manage $30 billion in assets.Burt’s excitement to redefine how our industry talks about wealth shines through in his work. He believes adaptability is a superpower and is highly motivated to innovate, pioneer and deliver forward-thinking industry thought-leadership.Burt is passionate about making a meaningful impact in the lives of clients and advisors. Given that passion and his unique talent for client storytelling, he is well equipped to help our advisors best serve clients and generate new business.Carson Group Founder and Chairman Ron Carson calls Burt a visionary in the industry who understands where the profession is and where it needs to go.Before joining the Carson team, Burt served for 14 years as Managing Director and Chief Investment Officer at LPL Financial. There, he fostered the development and evolution of LPL’s capabilities to effectively support advisor efficiency and growth.
Talking About Everything Under the Sun with Eddy Elfenbein (Ep. 84)
May 8 2024
Talking About Everything Under the Sun with Eddy Elfenbein (Ep. 84)
The art of stock picking is a skill that can lead to significant rewards for those who master it.How does one sift through the noise to identify undervalued gems? What does it take to maintain a long-term perspective in a market driven by short-term sentiments?In this episode, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group & Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, sit down with Eddy Elfenbein, Portfolio Manager, to explore his journey as a well-known stock picker. They dive into several topics, such as Eddy's approach to selecting stocks, his ETF, thoughts on macroeconomic trends, and the importance of being optimistic about the stock market.Eddy discusses: The thrill and challenges of being a true stock picker in an era dominated by passive investingThe evolution of his career, from sharing stock picks on his blog to managing an ETF with a unique fulcrum fee structureThe importance of simplifying complex market concepts and the dangers of Wall Street’s tendency to overcomplicateInsights into the macroeconomic picture, exploring employment rates, nominal GDP growth, the strength of the labor market, and interest ratesAnd more!Resources:Any questions about the show? Send it to us! We’d love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com Connect with Eddy Elfenbein: X: Eddy ElfenbeinWebsite: Crossing Wall StreetConnect with Ryan Detrick: LinkedIn: Ryan DetrickX: Ryan DetrickConnect with Sonu Varghese: LinkedIn: Sonu VargheseX: Sonu VargheseAbout Our Guest:Eddy Elfenbein is a passionate and dedicated individual who has devoted his career to helping investors navigate the stock market. He is the founder of a website, Crossing Wall Street, where he shares his unbiased views on the market.Eddy believes in the power of the stock market as the most consistently successful way to make money over the long term. He is a firm advocate of the ‘buy and hold’ strategy, emphasizing the importance of investing in outstanding companies. His goal is to help people avoid common investing mistakes and become successful investors.In addition to his website, Eddy also manages an Exchange Traded Fund (CWS) based on his Buy List.
Talking About AI with Dan Ives (Ep. 81)
Apr 17 2024
Talking About AI with Dan Ives (Ep. 81)
Discover the transformative power of AI as we explore its impact on the tech industry and beyond!This week on the Facts vs Feelings podcast, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group & Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, chat with Dan Ives, Managing Director, Equity Research at Wedbush Securities. They dive into the long-term implications of AI, the comparison between the current tech transformation and historical moments, and the potential of AI to drive unprecedented growth in various sectors.Dan discusses:The significance of AI in driving the next wave of technological advancement, likening it to the internet’s inceptionThe role of major tech companies like Nvidia and Microsoft in leading the AI revolution and the potential for smaller, innovative companies to emerge as key playersThe impact of geopolitical factors on the tech industry, particularly in relation to Chinese tech companies and the U.S. marketThe importance of embracing different perspectives, including bearish views, to gain a comprehensive understanding of the tech market’s trajectoryBlockchain technology and its potential use cases beyond cryptocurrency pricesAnd more!Resources:Any questions about the show? Send it to us! We’d love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com Connect with Dan Ives: LinkedIn: Dan IvesX: Dan IvesConnect with Ryan Detrick: LinkedIn: Ryan DetrickX: Ryan DetrickConnect with Sonu Varghese: LinkedIn: Sonu VargheseX: Sonu VargheseAbout Our Guest:Daniel Ives is a Managing Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst covering the Technology sector at Wedbush Securities since 2018. Dan has been a tech analyst on Wall Street for over two decades covering the software and the broader technology sector. He spent the first few years of his career as a financial analyst at HBO and then received his MBA in Finance before becoming a globally known technology equity research analyst and Managing Director with FBR Capital Markets for 16 years, focusing on the enterprise software/hardware sectors including cyber security, cloud computing, big data technology, and the mobile landscape. A major area of his research focus is electric vehicles and disruptive technology over the next decade.Dan is a highly sought-after tech expert around the world, has been a keynote speaker across the US, Europe, and Asia, and regularly makes television appearances on networks such as CNBC, Bloomberg, BBC, NBC, CBS, ABC, CNN, and Fox News to provide commentary related to his technology expertise. Dan can be heard regularly doing radio on the tech sector for Bloomberg, ABC News, NPR, BBC, and other radio broadcasts throughout the US, Europe, and Asia. Dan is often cited globally by publications such as The Wall Street Journal, USA Today, Investor’s Business Daily, Chicago Tribune, NY Post, Los Angeles Times, The Telegraph, San Francisco Chronicle, Time Magazine, The Washington Post, The Guardian, South China Morning Post, Barron’s, The Times of London, Financial Times, The Sydney Morning Herald, and New York Times, among many others.
Talking About the Future with Cathie Wood (Ep. 79)
Apr 3 2024
Talking About the Future with Cathie Wood (Ep. 79)
In a world where technology rapidly reshapes the landscape of industries, disruptive innovation stands at the forefront of this transformation. It challenges the status quo, propels economies forward, and redefines what is possible. As we dive into the minds of those who navigate these territories, we gain invaluable insights into the future of finance, investment, and the global economy.In this episode, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group & Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, sit down with Cathie Wood, CEO and CIO of Ark Invest, to explore the intricacies of disruptive innovation, the significance of technical analysis in investment strategies, and the potential underestimation of GDP growth due to technological advancements. Cathie Wood shares her bullish perspective on Bitcoin and emphasizes the importance of female leadership and coding in the future of finance.Cathie discusses: Her motivation for starting ARK Invest and the unique approach of the firmThe significance of Tesla in the context of artificial intelligence and its competitive advantagesHer perspective on GDP growth expectations and historical technology wavesHer view on Bitcoin as a monetary revolutionThe possibility of introducing more ETFsHer insights on the future of codingHer advice for young women in finance, focusing on knowledge, performance measurement, and staying focused on long-term goalsThe rapid growth and future valuation of disruptive innovation in equity marketsAnd more!Resources:Any questions about the show? Send it to us! We’d love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com Connect with Cathie Wood: LinkedIn: Cathie WoodX: Cathie WoodWebsite: ARK InvestConnect with Ryan Detrick: LinkedIn: Ryan DetrickX: Ryan DetrickConnect with Sonu Varghese: LinkedIn: Sonu VargheseX: Sonu VargheseAbout Our Guest:Cathie Wood registered ARK Investment Management LLC (“ARK”) as an investment adviser with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission in January 2014. With over 40 years of experience identifying and investing in innovation, Cathie founded ARK to focus solely on disruptive innovation while adding new dimensions to research. Through an open approach that cuts across sectors, market capitalizations, and geographies, Cathie believes that ARK can identify large-scale investment opportunities in the public markets resulting from technological innovations centered around DNA sequencing, robotics, artificial intelligence, energy storage, and blockchain technology. As Chief Investment Officer (“CIO”) and Portfolio Manager, Cathie led the development of ARK’s philosophy and investment approach and has ultimate responsibility for investment decisions.Prior to ARK, Cathie spent twelve years at AllianceBernstein as CIO of Global Thematic Strategies where she managed over $5 billion. Cathie joined Alliance Capital from Tupelo Capital Management, a hedge fund she co-founded, which in 2000, managed approximately $800 million in global thematic strategies. Prior to her tenure at Tupelo Capital, she worked for 18 years with Jennison Associates LLC as Chief Economist, Equity Research Analyst, Portfolio Manager and Director.
Talking About the Resilient Economy with Neil Dutta (Ep. 78)
Mar 27 2024
Talking About the Resilient Economy with Neil Dutta (Ep. 78)
"Inflation is on a glide path lower." Neil Dutta from RenMac LLC shares his thoughts with us today on Facts vs Feelings, offering a fresh perspective on the current economic landscape. Despite a rocky start in January, there's a sense of optimism in the air.In this episode, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group & Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group discuss economic insights with Neil Dutta, Head of Economics, RenMac LLC. Neil challenges the consensus on slowing economic growth and dismisses long and variable lags in monetary policy. The trio also explores the role of real-world indicators, the impact of commodity shocks, and the Federal Reserve's actions on the economy. They delve into entrepreneurship, productivity, and the potential of AI in investing.Neil discusses: The economy and fiscal responsesReal-world indicators of economic activityCurrent market conditions and economic indicatorsConcerns about lack of positioning for upside risk scenariosPotential impact of AI on productivity and investingAnd more!Resources:Any questions about the show? Send it to us! We’d love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.comTalking Macro with Neil Dutta (Ep. 47)Live on Leap Day with Facts vs FeelingsRenMac PodcastConnect with Neil Dutta: Renaissance Macro ResearchLinkedIn: Neil DuttaConnect with Ryan Detrick: LinkedIn: Ryan DetrickConnect with Sonu Varghese: LinkedIn: Sonu VargheseAbout Our Guest:As Head of Economic Research, Neil Dutta leads RenMac’s macroeconomic research efforts, with an emphasis on analyzing the US economy, Federal Reserve, global trends, and cross-market investment themes. Prior to RenMac, Neil spent seven years at Bank of America-Merrill Lynch. There, he was a Senior Economist covering both the United States and Canada.Neil appears frequently in the financial press, representing the firm on Bloomberg, CNBC, and Fox Business. He has been quoted by the Wall Street Journal, Financial Times, Associated Press, and has been featured in the New York Times for his out-of-consensus economic views on a host of topics including employment, consumption, inflation, and housing.A business economist with 2 decades of sell-side experience, Neil graduated Cum Laude from New York University with a bachelor’s degree, double majoring in Economics and Political Science.In his spare time, Neil tries to entertain his three kids. When he is not at his desk, or with his kids, Neil is traveling somewhere with his wife, Puja. The couple currently resides in New Jersey after spending many years in Brooklyn.
Is Anyone Bearish? (Ep. 76)
Mar 13 2024
Is Anyone Bearish? (Ep. 76)
The market’s changing trends and sentiments play a pivotal role in determining smart investment strategies. When we look at the massive rally the stock market has seen over the last few months, what is expected for the market in the near future?In this episode, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, analyze the recent market rally and the lack of a buying frenzy, despite all-time highs. They dive into specific stocks and market sentiment, reflecting on lessons from past financial crises and the importance of a long-term perspective. The conversation also covers job reports, interest rate, productivity, and more!Ryan and Sonu discuss: The market rally, impact of magazine covers featuring bullish sentiments, and potential market trendsThe shift in market sentimentThe performance of specific stocks like Nvidia, Super Micro, Tesla, Amazon, Google, and AppleAn analysis of job productivity and the overall economic roundupExplaining the household survey and the unemployment rateAn explanation of the strong productivity and its connection to the labor marketJerome Powell's speech and its impact on the marketThe relationship between gold, real interest rates, and storage costs, and its implications for investment strategiesAnd more!Resources:Any questions about the show? Send it to us! We’d love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com Connect with Ryan Detrick: LinkedIn: Ryan DetrickX: Ryan DetrickConnect with Sonu Varghese: LinkedIn: Sonu VargheseX: Sonu Varghese
Election Special with Libby Cantrill of PIMCO (Ep. 75)
Mar 6 2024
Election Special with Libby Cantrill of PIMCO (Ep. 75)
As the race to the White House heats up, experts from the financial sector weigh in on the high-stakes implications of the upcoming presidential election.Today on Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group & Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group analyze the upcoming presidential election's potential effects on financial markets with Libby Cantrill, Head of Public Policy at PIMCO. They dissect the political landscape's influence on the markets and discuss Joe Biden's likelihood of remaining the Democratic nominee, comparing the current political climate to historical elections. Their conversation also covers pivotal issues that could sway key battleground states, and how re-election campaigns might influence stock market performance. Additionally, they touch on the role of Congress in fiscal policy and the implications for equity and bond markets.Libby discusses:The impact of the upcoming presidential election on financial marketsSignificance of the US dollar as the world's reserve currencyThe government spending deficit and its implicationsThe strength of the US economyPotential nominees for the presidential electionImportance of state polling in critical statesThe impact fiscal policy has on stock market performanceAnd more!The charitable entities and/or fundraising opportunities described herein are not endorsed by, or affiliated with CWM, LLC., or its affiliates. Our philanthropic interests are personal to us and are not reviewed, sponsored, or approved by CWM, LLC.Resources:Donate to St. Judes - Events.stjude.org/leapdayAny questions about the show? Send it to us! We’d love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com Connect with Libby Cantrill: PIMCOLinkedIn: Libby CantrillConnect with Ryan Detrick: LinkedIn: Ryan DetrickConnect with Sonu Varghese: LinkedIn: Sonu VargheseAbout our guest:Ms. Cantrill is head of U.S. public policy and a managing director in PIMCO's portfolio management group. In her role, she analyzes policy and political risk for the firm’s Investment Committee and leads U.S. policymaker engagement and policy strategy for the firm. She also works closely with PIMCO’s Global Advisory Board, led by former Federal Reserve Chair Ben Bernanke. She has served as a rotating member of the firm’s Executive Committee and is a founding member of PIMCO Families and PIMCO Women. Prior to joining PIMCO in 2007, she served as a legislative aide in the House of Representatives and also worked in the investment banking division at Morgan Stanley. She has 19 years of investment experience and holds an MBA from Harvard Business School and received her undergraduate degree in economics from Brown University. Ms. Cantrill is a CFA charter holder and a regular contributor to Bloomberg and CNBC. She is also a member of the Council on Foreign Relations and sits on the boards of Covenant House New York and the Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association ("SIFMA").Libby Cantrill is not affiliated with CWM, LLC.
It Is a NVIDIA World, We Are Just Living in It (Ep. 74)
Feb 28 2024
It Is a NVIDIA World, We Are Just Living in It (Ep. 74)
Can NVIDIA sustain its remarkable earnings growth?This week on Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group & Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group analyze the stock market's current state, with a special focus on NVIDIA's stellar earnings and the market's overall positioning. They discuss their strategic investment preferences, favoring sectors like industrials, financials, energy, and healthcare, while maintaining a neutral stance on technology and communications. They’re optimistic about the market's broad-based expansion and highlight the importance of managing volatility in their diverse portfolio offerings. Additionally, they share personal anecdotes from industry events and reflect on Warren Buffett's investment strategies, emphasizing the significance of buying at fair prices and the use of leverage.Ryan and Sonu discuss: NVIDIA's impressive earnings and financial performanceAnalysis of market performance and concerns about the concentration of gainsOverweight stance on equities and preference for sectors such as industrials, financials, energy, and healthcareEmphasis on sector rotation and overweight position in small and mid-cap stocksOptimism about broad-based expansion and GDP growthImportance of managing volatility in investment portfoliosImportance of diversification in the bond market and defensive market strategiesWarren Buffett's investment strategies and leverage utilizationAnd more!Resources:Any questions about the show? Send it to us! We’d love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com Connect with Ryan Detrick: LinkedIn: Ryan DetrickConnect with Sonu Varghese: LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese
Did the Economy Actually Slow Down? (Ep. 73)
Feb 21 2024
Did the Economy Actually Slow Down? (Ep. 73)
We are confronted with a key question as we deal with economic downshifts and market swings.Does the latest data really reflect an economic slowdown?In this episode, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group & Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, analyze various indicators to assess the pace of economic growth, including market performance, inflation metrics such as CPI, PPI, and PCE, and trends in retail sales and industrial production. Additionally, they explore the impact of younger generations on historical progress and provide insights into GDP growth and income trends, offering a comprehensive economic check-up.Ryan and Sonu discuss: An analysis of the stock market's performance, focusing on small and mid-cap stocksYearly market trends, corrections, and the Valentine's Day indicatorLarry Summers' predictions and their significance in the marketDifferent inflation metrics such as CPI, PPI, and PCE, and their relevance in assessing inflation trendsRecent inflation trends and the potential impact on Fed rate cuts and market expectationsAn analysis of retail sales and industrial production dataThe current economic slowdown and comparison with previous yearsAnd more!Resources:Any questions about the show? Send it to us! We’d love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com Join the Live on Leap Day with Facts vs Feelings!Connect with Ryan Detrick: LinkedIn: Ryan DetrickConnect with Sonu Varghese: LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese
Talking about Bitcoin ETFs with Matt Hougan (Ep. 72)
Feb 14 2024
Talking about Bitcoin ETFs with Matt Hougan (Ep. 72)
Bitcoin ETFs are one of the most anticipated and debated developments in the crypto space. What are the implications for the market, the economy, and crypto's future? In this episode, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group & Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, speak with Matthew Hougan, Chief Investment Officer at Bitwise Asset Management about the impact of Bitcoin ETFs on the market, offering a new investment avenue. They explore Bitcoin's role as an asset class or currency within traditional portfolios. Ryan and Sonu also cover the CPI data, its implications for inflation, and market expectations.Listen to the episode to learn about:The Consumer Price Index (CPI) dataThe stock market’s performance, historical seasonality, and the likelihood of a market pullbackThe increase in household net worth and credit card debt, highlighting the overall financial situation of consumersThe significance of Bitcoin ETF approval and its impact on financial advisors and investorsFund flows from GBTC to new Bitcoin ETFsAdding Bitcoin to portfolios, its historical returns, volatility, and the potential benefits for investorsThe likelihood of Ethereum ETFsShort-term and long-term drivers of Bitcoin’s valueAnd more!Resources:Any questions about the show? Send it to us! We’d love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com Connect with Matthew Hougan: LinkedIn: Matthew HouganX: Matt Hougan Bitwise Asset ManagementConnect with Ryan Detrick: LinkedIn: Ryan DetrickConnect with Sonu Varghese: LinkedIn: Sonu VargheseAbout Our Guest:Matt Hougan is a well-known expert in the fields of cryptocurrency, ETFs, and financial technology. He currently serves as the Chief Investment Officer at Bitwise Asset Management, which is the world's largest provider of cryptocurrency index funds and manages over $1.5 billion in assets.Before this, he was the CEO of ETF.com and Inside ETFs. During his tenure, he played a key role in developing the world's first ETF data and analytics system, the most popular ETF media platform, and the world's largest ETF conference.Matt serves as a board member for Equbot and is also a strategic advisor to several startups related to cryptocurrency and financial advising, such as Blockworks, Stratifi, and Exchange. He co-founded Advisor Circle, which is a product and content studio for the financial industry and also created the Futureproof Wealth Festival.
Let the Good Times Roll (Ep. 71)
Feb 7 2024
Let the Good Times Roll (Ep. 71)
From the stock market hitting all-time highs to new tax bills, positive economic indicators, and even the Super Bowl, there's a lot to keep track of when it comes to finance and investing this week!In this episode, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group & Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, provide an in-depth analysis of current economic indicators, including jobs, productivity, and consumer confidence. They also touch on the potential for a stock market breather in February amidst election buzz. Additionally, they examine a new tax bill that could inject more money into the economy and give the stock market a boost. Ryan and Sonu discuss: The stock market hitting all-time highs, historical February performance, and potential market consolidationA bipartisan tax bill moving through Congress and its potential impact on business and individual financesAn analysis of the Super Bowl indicator and its historical correlation with stock market performanceThe Fed's approach to potential rate cuts and market expectationsA comparison of income-driven and credit-driven economic cycles and their impacts on the economyAn analysis of the strong job market report and consumer confidence dataThe importance of productivity in driving positive economic outcomes And more!Resources:Any questions about the show? Send it to us! We’d love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com Connect with Ryan Detrick: LinkedIn: Ryan DetrickConnect with Sonu Varghese: LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese
Can You Take Me Higher (Ep. 69)
Jan 24 2024
Can You Take Me Higher (Ep. 69)
Now that the stock market has reached its all-time high, what can we expect?Which ways can the latest economic indicators and international markets affect us?In this episode, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group & Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, dive into the stock market's recent all-time highs and their implications for investors. They also cover the importance of manufacturing and high-tech industries for the economy. Additionally, they examine global economic factors, including China's influence on markets and the comparative strengths of the US economy.Ryan and Sonu discuss: Historical data on all-time highs, patterns of all-time highs over the years, and the likelihood of continued all-time highsAnalysis of the increase in consumer confidenceAn analysis of retail salesThe importance of manufacturing for the economy, including high-paying jobs and the impact on supply chainsThe positive trends in high-tech production and its impact on the economyThe impact of Taiwan Semiconductor's growth on the semiconductor market and its implications for investorsThe impact of geopolitical tensions on the stock markets, particularly in Taiwan and ChinaThe impact of China's economic slowdown on global marketsA Comparison of the growth rates of the US and China economiesThe potential momentum in small and mid-cap stocks and the significance of GDP growthAnd more!Resources:Any questions about the show? Send it to us! We’d love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com Connect with Ryan Detrick: LinkedIn: Ryan DetrickConnect with Sonu Varghese: LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese
The Little Things May Add Up (Ep. 68)
Jan 17 2024
The Little Things May Add Up (Ep. 68)
The world is facing unprecedented challenges and opportunities in 2024. From geopolitical tensions and trade wars to technological innovations and environmental issues.How can investors navigate these times? How will the emergence of cryptocurrencies and digital assets affect the financial system and regulation? In this episode, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group & Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, explore the economic outlook and global issues. They also dive into the implications of Bitcoin ETFs, volatility, and risk tolerance in cryptocurrency markets. Additionally, they touch on inflation and rates, referencing the CPI and PPI, the M2 concerns, and the male labor participation rate.Ryan and Sonu discuss: The geopolitical scene, focusing on the Red Sea issues and the impact on global shipping and oil pricesThe recent election in Taiwan and the potential impact on ChinaThe drama surrounding the Bitcoin ETF approvalAn analysis of inflation data, including CPI and PPI, and its impact on potential rate cuts by the FedThe significance of M2 being negative year over year and its potential impact on the economyThe male labor participation rate and its comparison to historical levelsThe beginning of earnings season, bank performance, and significant developments in the aviation and technology sectorsAnd more!Resources:Any questions about the show? Send it to us! We’d love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com Connect with Ryan Detrick: LinkedIn: Ryan DetrickConnect with Sonu Varghese: LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese
Welcome to Our 2024 Outlook (Ep. 67)
Jan 10 2024
Welcome to Our 2024 Outlook (Ep. 67)
With signals of growth faced against global uncertainties, what can we expect from the global economy in 2024?How will these factors affect the performance of various sectors and markets, and what strategies can investors adopt to navigate this year? In this episode, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group & Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, share their 2024 outlook on the economy and stock market. They analyze the surprises from 2023 and explain why there is still no likelihood of a recession. Additionally, they explore potential Fed rate cuts and provide an outlook for bonds, housing, manufacturing, and fixed income strategies.Ryan and Sonu discuss: Surprises and trends from 2023, including economic growth and employment gainsThe main drivers to avoid a recessionThe current labor market, job creation, unemployment rate, and wage growthProductivity's impact on economic growth and the outlook for 2024The likelihood of future rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and their potential impact on the economyThe outlook for stocks and bonds in 2024The influence of housing demand, supply, and interest rates, as well as the impact of fiscal policy on manufacturing and constructionThe market's historical performance in midterm and pre-election yearsThe strength in small and mid-cap stocksAnd more!Resources:Any questions about the show? Send it to us! We’d love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com Connect with Ryan Detrick: LinkedIn: Ryan DetrickConnect with Sonu Varghese: LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese