Stocks Neat

Forager Funds

Stocks Neat by Forager Funds - the podcast talking sips and stocks, with nothing watered down. Each month, join Steve Johnson and Gareth Brown for a drink as they talk share markets and taste-test some of whisky's finest. www.foragerfunds.com read less
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Episodes

Why the goldilocks economy is great for small caps and the problem with Australian housing policy
Aug 4 2023
Why the goldilocks economy is great for small caps and the problem with Australian housing policy
In episode 20 of Stocks Neat, Co-Portfolio Manager Gareth Brown and CIO Steve Johnson sit down to explore the global economic outlook, its goldilocks nature, and its implications for investing.Switching from their usual whiskey, Steve and Gareth opt for a coffee as the conversation kicks off with a reflection on the past year's positive investment returns, despite being a year marked by market scepticism and uncertainty. They explore the highlights and lowlights and reiterate an ongoing focus on smaller cap companies, given the potential for these to pay off in a relative sense over the next five years.Steve and Gareth follow on with a deep dive into the enigmatic world of housing markets, interest rates, and their far-reaching economic impacts. They discuss the surprising resilience of house prices amid rising interest rates, exploring various factors influencing this phenomenon. They share their perspectives on the economic recovery and its potential impact on different industries and stocks. We want to extend our apologies for the slight delay in recording July's episode, which is attributed to a bustling end to the financial year and the Forager Roadshow. Watch it here in case you missed it.You can also find us on:Twitter - @ForagerFundsFacebook - Forager Funds Management LinkedIn - Forager Funds ManagementInstagram - Forager_FundsFor regular videos, investment insights, and fund updates, visit www.foragerfunds.com.
Reckoning Looms for Unlisted Assets
Jun 21 2023
Reckoning Looms for Unlisted Assets
In the latest episode of Stocks Neat, Co-Portfolio Manager Gareth Brown joins CIO Steve Johnson to shed light on the commercial property industry and the broader issue of unlisted assets, particularly focusing on Australia's super funds and their refusal to recognise the real value of some of their unlisted assets.The second topic they explore is the current bull market, dubbing it the "bull market that nobody believes in," highlighting the lack of enthusiasm despite statistical evidence of its existence, especially in the larger tech companies in the US. The conversation touches on the remarkable rise of artificial intelligence and its current bubble-type behaviour, using NVIDIA as an example to explore the implications of high valuations relative to earnings.Gareth and Steve also touch on inflation and its impact on the economy, mentioning positive developments out of the US, with Australia likely six months behind, given the persisting labour pressures. Tune in and join Steve and Gareth as they try a locally made American Pale Ale by Batch Brewing in Marrickville, Sydney.Show Notes:Joel Greenblatt podcast (mentioned by Gareth) - IC Interviews: Joel GreenblattThe Economist article on San Francisco - Downtown San Francisco is at a tipping-pointYou can also find us on:Twitter - @ForagerFundsFacebook - Forager Funds Management LinkedIn - Forager Funds ManagementInstagram - Forager_FundsFor regular videos, investment insights, and fund updates, visit www.foragerfunds.com.
Buffett lessons you won’t hear at Berkshire
May 24 2023
Buffett lessons you won’t hear at Berkshire
After some time on the sidelines, Co-Portfolio Manager Gareth Brown is back in the hot seat, joining CIO Steve Johnson for the latest episode of Stocks Neat as they delve into lessons from the recent Berkshire Hathaway meeting.They reflect on the meeting’s evolution over decades, how size has impacted investment decisions and the increasing conservatism in Berkshire Hathaway's investment strategy.Additionally, Steve and Gareth revisit a topic previously explored at the beginning of the year - the underperformance of small-cap stocks. They examine the current valuation differential between small and large-cap stocks, with relative valuations for US small caps at their lowest levels on record. They shed light on what this means for investors and discuss the potential for a change in sentiment towards small-cap stocks as we enter, and ultimately emerge from, any recession.According to recent research from Global Alpha Capital Management, small caps tend to underperform going into a recession. But that underperformance typically stops right around the onset of a recession. From that recessionary onset, small caps have outperformed large caps over the following 3-4 years in all 6 US recessions for which the company had data. Pour yourself a glass of whisky and join Steve and Gareth as they explore these topics while sipping on a glass of Super Nikka Japanese Whisky.Show Notes:Stocks Neat episode on small caps - The contrarian case for small-caps in 2023Steve's recent Livewire article - Why a recession might be needed for small caps to workGlobal Alpha article - Small cap is backYou can also find us on:Twitter - @ForagerFundsFacebook - Forager Funds Management LinkedIn - Forager Funds ManagementInstagram - Forager_FundsFor regular videos, investment insights, and fund updates, visit www.foragerfunds.com.